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616 FXUS65 KBOU 211724 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1024 AM MST Sat Feb 21 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler weekend, well around average temperatures, before another big warm-up next week. - Shot of moisture Wednesday in the high country with stronger winds across the urban corridor and plains. - Fire weather concerns increase mid-week. && .DISCUSSION /Through Friday/... Issued at 1149 PM MST Fri Feb 20 2026 As has been the theme for our winter in eastern Colorado, winds and more winds. Saturday won`t be windy per se but it`ll be breezy over the far eastern plains in the wake of a weak cool front adding to some downsloping off the Cheyenne Ridge. Sunday we will see some return flow and clearing skies to allow temperatures to moderate a tad back to a few degrees above normal. Monday we`ll likely, 70% chance, see daytime highs over the urban corridor and the plains reach into the low to mid-60s and then 65- 90% chance of 70 degrees on Tuesday. 70 degrees is 25 degrees above average and with no moisture, relative humidities will bottom out in the low-teens/upper single digits Monday and Tuesday. Winds look to take a break fortunately with ridging moving close enough to the area. Then we turn to Wednesday with the approach of the next short-wave trough of low pressure. Deeper mixing is expected on Wednesday while a dry front tries to slide through the region...similar to Tuesday`s front from earlier this week. Some guidance is hinting at moisture spilling onto the Front Range with the shortwave trough, but thinking it`s overdone and the coarser resolution bleeds too much to the east of the divide. Regardless, Wednesday will be windy from the urban corridor and eastward with with a decent low and upper level jet structure. The shortwave does produce some snowfall in the high country during the day with whatever moisture it has available, maybe a couple of tenths of liquid. Thursday also looks warm and mostly dry with breezy/windy conditions over the plains once again. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday/... Issued at 1015 AM MST Sat Feb 21 2026 VFR conditions thru the period. Wind wise, there is a weak Denver cyclone over nwrn Denver which has allowed for a S/SE wind at APA/DIA. This feature is supposed to start moving east which would allow winds to gradually go more SW and then north by 20Z and NE by 23z. However, if it doesn`t move then winds could just stay mainly S/SE thru the aftn so will have to monitor this the next few hours. BJC may stay more NW thru the aftn hours. For this evening at APA/DIA, winds will be mainly SE and then may go just light and variable by 06z. Late tonight winds will become SW/SSW between 09z and 11z. At BJC, winds will be light and variable tonight. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Heavener AVIATION...RPK