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700 FXUS65 KBOU 060005 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 505 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Very light mountain snow possible on Friday in the high country with snow amounts less than 1". - Pleasant temperatures and dry conditions are expected Saturday through late next week. && .DISCUSSION /Through Thursday/... Issued at 216 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026 There is a ridge over Colorado with very light flow within it. The subsidence has created a pleasant day with temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s across the plains with plenty of sunshine. The current water vapor imagery shows an elongated trough extending from northwest Montana to California. Models had recently been showing this trough producing enough lift to generate snow showers over the mountains tomorrow afternoon and evening. However, the latest model runs split this trough with a piece staying over North Dakota and another piece moving to Arizona tomorrow. In the middle, over Colorado, there will be minimal lift and limited moisture. The question is now, will there be any snow showers at all? Compared to the question of, how much snow will fall? The forecast was edited to show a 20-30% chance of snow shows in the mountains tomorrow with other locations remaining dry. Snow amounts will be less than 1" and most locations won`t see any accumulation at all. The Intermountain West will see a ridge develop over the region on Saturday that will stick around in some form through next work week. The ensemble data shows almost no chance for precipitation in our CWA until the weekend of November 14-15. There will be very pleasant temperatures with highs slowly warming from the low 60s to close to 70 later in the week across the plains. With light winds, no critical fire weather conditions are expected so there will be no impactful weather. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday/... Issued at 451 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026 VFR conditions are expected through this TAF package. Light east winds will gradually turn southerly over the next few hours at APA and DEN. Winds overnight at DEN will be from the south/southwest around 9kts. BJC will remain light and variable for much of the overnight period. A cyclone is forecast to form to the northeast of DEN tomorrow morning, turning winds more N/NW for the late morning and afternoon. Winds will remain on the lighter side tomorrow, with speeds generally below 8kts. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Danielson AVIATION...AP