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474 FXUS65 KBOU 200607 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1107 PM MST Thu Feb 19 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Light to briefly moderate snowfall expected across the mountains Friday morning through Saturday morning. - (60%) chance for light snow across I-25 Corridor and plains Friday afternoon into Friday evening. - Dry most of the weekend into early next week. Chilly start to the weekend, but a strong warming trend Monday and Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION /Through Thursday/... Issued at 1102 PM MST Thu Feb 19 2026 A disturbance will move across the area on Fri with best QG ascent staying mainly over srn CO. Meanwhile, a sfc low will be near Denver Fri morning and then move eastward into east central CO by late aftn. Overall, the low level flow will be mainly from the southeast across the plains and turn more northerly along the I-25 Corridor by mid to late aftn. Cross-sections show a dry airmass in the lower levels as the system moves across which will likely limit QPF. Ensemble data from both the GFS and ECMWF only show a few hundreths in most places, across the plains, so snow amounts will generally be an inch or less. In the mtns, snowfall will also be on the light side in most areas as well. As the disturbance moves east of the area Fri night, snow chances will gradually decrease in the evening. On Sat, drier air in NW flow aloft will move into the area with only a slight chc of snow showers in the mtns. Highs will be near seasonal levels. On Sun, dry WNW flow aloft will be over the area. A cold front may move across the plains Sat night into early Sun. As a result, this front could keep highs in the 30`s over the far nern plains for Sun aftn while readings stay near seasonal levels closer to the front range. Looking ahead to Mon and Tue, the flow aloft will become more westerly as low level downslope flow develops. This will allow for much warmer temps from the foothills across the plains. In addition, will see increasing wind over the higher terrain. Cross-sections show only some mid and high level moisture embedded in the flow so no precip is expected either day. Finally, latest data suggest an upper level trough in NW flow may affect the area by next Wed. This feature would bring a chc of snow to the mtns with a slight chc of showers to the plains. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday/... Issued at 1035 PM MST Thu Feb 19 2026 VFR through the first half of Friday, but MVFR/IFR conditions likely Friday afternoon into Friday night. Winds are slowly turning towards drainage and should maintain light speeds overnight. A turn to north/northeast winds is likely sometime during the morning hours, with a slow trend towards northwest by the afternoon or evening. A weak storm system is expected to bring scattered snow showers to the terminals, generally from around 21-03z. This snow looks to be rather disorganized, but there could be brief reductions down to IFR visby along with ceilings of 1-2kft AGL. Snow should end during the evening hours, but there could be a few hours of low stratus persisting beyond 06z Saturday. There should be quick improvement to VFR by Saturday morning as winds turn more southwesterly. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...RPK AVIATION...Hiris