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716 FXUS65 KBOU 071832 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1132 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected for at least the next seven days. && .DISCUSSION /Through Saturday/... Issued at 1132 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026 GOES satellite imagery shows a few cirrus clouds moving south out of Wyoming in the northerly flow aloft. Other than that, it will be sunny, dry, and warm across the area with generally light winds. Highs should reach the mid 60s across the plains and I-25 corridor with around 50 degF in the mountain valleys and east slope foothills. Tonight`s lows will be seasonally cool but warmer than average for early November with mostly clear skies and light winds. Looking at 30s across the plains and 20s in the mountain valleys. A positively tilted ridge builds over Colorado Sunday through Tuesday. It will remain dry with above average temperatures. Ensemble temperature spreads from any ensemble forecast system are very small, resulting in high confidence in the expected temperatures across our area. An example is REFS for Monday has at most a 3-4 degree difference between the 10th/90th percentile maximum temperature at just a few northeast plains locations. The spread is less than that elsewhere. Needless to day temperatures across the plains will be 65-70 deg each afternoon. The mountain valleys/east slope foothills will likewise be warm with highs in the low to mid 50s. Late on Tuesday models have a weak shortwave trough moving across the northern Rockies. GFS/GEFS are generally outliers with a colder and further south trough than any other modeling system. However, confidence overall is increasing that northwest flow aloft associated with the trough to the northeast will advect cooler air into our area especially by Wednesday morning, including a surface cold front. Ensemble guidance has essentially zero chance of precipitation with the trough/front passage across the plains, and it looks really dry aloft too such that for now we have keeping PoPs in the mountains below 10%, though that could certainly change as we get closer to Tuesday. West flow and cooler air associated with a trough is usually all it takes for flurries across the highest peaks/ridges even if models look too dry. Temps area-wide on Wednesday are likely to be cooler to some extent given the front and proximity of the trough, for now 4-6 degrees cooler is in the forecast. It`s also likely to be breezy across the northern tier counties of Colorado later Tuesday into early Wednesday with northwest winds 15-20 mph gusting up to 30 mph. For now, it`s looks cool enough that RH should not drop to red flag criteria. Thursday will also be breezy across the far eastern plains, but it does not look like we`ll have any fire weather issues. Thursday and through the weekend the ridge rebuilds over Colorado and does not budge at all, resulting in very little uncertainty in temperatures and precipitation chances through the weekend. It looks dry across our area with temperatures continuing to be 8-13 degrees above normal each afternoon. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday/... Issued at 1102 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026 VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with mostly clear skies and scattered high clouds at most. Current observations show winds are near-calm over the region, and likely to remain very light (