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931 FXUS65 KBOU 030537 AFDBOU Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 1137 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and unseasonably warm weather returns for the majority of the week ahead. Record/near record warmth next Monday. - A few showers expected Tuesday as a weak disturbance moves across. && .DISCUSSION /Through Friday/... Issued at 1121 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026 Tonight`s temperatures will dip into the lower 50s for the plains with mid 20s to upper 30s in the mountains and valleys. There is also the chance for some patchy fog/low clouds Saturday morning mainly from Limon southward. Saturday will be warm and dry as the ridge builds overhead. It will be breezy in the plains, 20-30 kts, as a weak cold front pushes through during the day. Due to these gusty and dry conditions, elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours in the afternoon near the Cheyenne Ridge area with the passage of the front. Sunday will see a slight drop in temperatures due to the passage of the front, but still above normal in the upper 70s and low 80s is likely for most of the urban corridor and plains. An isolated shower/storm in the high county can`t be ruled out. Monday temperatures heat up again to near record for Denver. Current forecasted temperature is 86 and that would put us just one degree shy from the daily record set in 2024 at 87 degrees. Elsewhere, we should reach the mid/upper 80s with Greeley nearing 90 degrees. A weak disturbance in the ridge is still on track to push across the state Tuesday. We currently have a 20-30% for an isolated shower or weak storm across the high country. With a focus on the Central Mountains, such as Clear Creek and Summit Counties. Ensemble guidance is in great agreement for PWATs in the plains to be fairly low (0.3-0.5), but with some forcing from the shortwave we may see a few showers attempt to make it into the Palmer Divide area. Wednesday through Friday deterministic and ensemble guidance maintain great agreement for a upper level ridging pattern to settle in. This means our temperatures should stay above normal in the low/mid 80s through the end of next week with dry weather. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday/... Issued at 1121 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026 VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. This evening`s enhanced southerlies are gradually decreasing in speed at this time. Currently, a slight south-southeasterly push is observed at KAPA, but this is expected to be temporary, before south to southwesterly winds are expected for the overnight hours. KBJC should have a slightly more westerly component from a little mountain wave enhancement, and all TAF sites are expected to see a few hours of light and variable winds before a cold front progresses south, bringing a north to northeasterly wind shift by late morning (between 16-18Z). Winds are expected to keep a northeasterly component through the afternoon, with a few 15-20 kt gusts possible behind the front. Wind speeds are expected to diminish with an easterly transition through the evening at KDEN/KAPA, followed by south-southeasterly winds for the overnight hours. KBJC should see a more NNW shift in the evening followed by light and variable winds for the overnight hours. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Schnell AVIATION...9